Now that the 2019 Indian Monsoon campaign is 1.5 months in, we can start to look at regional and subregional progress and highlight areas to monitor where ongoing moisture deficiencies may carry a higher potential risk regarding production and yield potential. The onset of the seasonal rains were once again delayed this year, and while the pattern has picked up in recent weeks, country-wide precipitation is still decidedly below normal. The chart below depicts weekly cumulative precipitation totals (bars), which are running well below seasonally expected normals (solid line) from the onset in early June through 15 July. While it is certainly far too early to start declaring a Monsoon failure, there are regions where supply side agricultural concerns should start to monitor.
